The association of childhood HDL cholesterol with atherosclerotic CVD events in adults: findings from the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort Consortium.
Wang J., Kartiosuo N., Raitakari O., Viikari J., Juonala M., Bazzano L., Sinaiko AR., Steinberger J., Daniels SR., Venn A., Magnussen C., Woo JG., Ramakrishnan R., Urbina EM., Kähönen M., Jacobs DR., Dwyer T.
AIMS: The role of adult HDL-C in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) faces challenges from Mendelian randomisations and drug trials. However, the association between childhood HDL-C and its changes and adult ASCVD remains undefined. This study aimed to determine this association. METHODS: Participants: Children in the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium with childhood HDL-C and adult ASCVD follow-up. Age- and sex-standardized HDL-C z-scores were calculated for childhood (3-19 years), early childhood (3-11 years), and adolescence (12-19 years); Low HDL-C defined as <1.03mmol/L; Participants classified as consistently normal, low-to-normal, normal-to-low, and consistently low based on HDL-C status at early childhood and adolescence. ASCVD events: Identified using self-reports adjudicated by medical records or death registries. Analysis: Cox proportional hazards models quantified the associations between childhood HDL-C and adult ASCVD. RESULTS: The study included 38,589 participants (49.7% males, mean age in 2016: 46.4 years) with 779 ASCVD and 784 imputed ASCVD events. After adjusting for sex, cohort, age and HDL-C measurement year, higher HDL-C z-scores in childhood, early childhood and adolescence were associated with lower adult ASCVD risk (HRs: 0.81-0.82), with the lowest risk at HDL-C >1.50mmol/L. Normal-to-low (HR 1.38, 95%CI 1.04-1.82) and consistently low (HR 1.94, 95%CI 1.45-2.63) childhood HDL-C increased adult ASCVD risk compared to consistently normal HDL-C. Adjusting for BMI and triglycerides weakened these associations. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood and adolescent HDL-C were prospectively and inversely associated with adult ASCVD, suggesting that low HDL-C could be a risk maker of adult ASCVD. Future replications, mechanistic studies and Mendelian randomisations on childhood HDL-C may clarify its causal effects on adult ASCVD.